Top IT trends
February 23, 2008 Comments Off on Top IT trends
By 2011, Apple will double its U.S. and Western Europe unit market share in Computers. Apple’s gains in computer market share reflect as much on the failures of the rest of the industry as on Apple’s success.
There seems to be a shift towards other, smaller devices as well. So how will this reflect in this number? Will the shift be from PC to Mac or will there be a shift of PC to PDA, therefore lowering the number of PCs (especially laptops, I guess) and if by magic (not really, simple arithmetics if you ask me) growing the share of Mac? It’ll probably be a bit of both, but it would be interesting to see what’s the major influencer.
By 2012, 50 per cent of traveling workers will leave their notebooks at home in favour of other devices.
And indeed, here we have it. But that still doesn’t rule out people abanding their Macbooks for other devices, so question above remains.
By 2012, 80 per cent of all commercial software will include elements of open-source technology.
By 2012, at least one-third of business application software spending will be as service subscription instead of as product license.
I believe somebody famous in my company said that all software is going towards a support- en service subscription model. Product licenses will eventually become obsolete.
By 2011, early technology adopters will forgo capital expenditures and instead purchase 40 per cent of their IT infrastructure as a service. … Enterprises believe that as service oriented architecture (SOA) becomes common “cloud computing” will take off, thus untying applications from specific infrastructure.
Unless security becomes really airtight, enterprises will not be untying their applications from their own specific infrastructure en masse. I don’t really see things happening like Gartner, but hey… we’ll see that in three years time, won’t we. (Mark your calendars!).
By 2009, more than one third of IT organizations will have one or more environmental criteria in their top six buying criteria for IT-related goods. Initially, the motivation will come from the wish to contain costs.
I also believe that the motivation will come from containing costs. Anyway, energy is becoming extremely expensive, so for cutting costs, energy saving will be high on the list.
By 2010, 75 per cent of organisations will use full life cycle energy and CO2 footprint as mandatory PC hardware buying criteria.
Unless there is enough and cheap full life cycle energy PC hardware, I believe not many organisations will use those buying criteria. I do foresee it being used by government institutions as these usually don’t feel like the pressure of cost-efficiency.
By 2011, suppliers to large global enterprises will need to prove their green credentials via an audited process to retain preferred supplier status.
This will happen, I just don’t know if it the green madness will go this quickly, and therefore continue to bypass economical logic at the same rate as it does now.
By 2010, end-user preferences will decide as much as half of all software, hardware and services acquisitions made by IT.
Don’t know exactly what Gartner means by end-users. I guess that some level of abstraction will be made through the managerial chains… But there is definitely a change visible in how choices for software and services are made.
Through 2011, the number of 3-D printers in homes and businesses will grow 100-fold over 2006 levels. The technology lets users send a file of a 3-D design to a printer-like device that will carve the design out of a block of resin.
Huh? How many of these devices are there for the moment. Is a 100-fold growth difficult to realise or not?